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Energy Markets

23.03.2026 

Oil prices rose on Friday, driven by reports that the U.S. may deploy ground troops to Iran. Earlier declines had been linked to possible sanctions relief on Iranian oil, while diplomatic efforts to ease tensions—such as U.S. requests for Israel to delay strikes—limited further gains. Brent crude increased 3.3% to $112.19 per barrel, and WTI rose 2.2% to $98.23.

British spot gas prices fell 2.4% to 149.75 p/therm as milder weather reduced demand and fears over damage to Qatar’s Ras Laffan LNG facilities eased. On the forward curve, Summer 2026 contracts dropped 2.7% to 148.24 p/therm, reflecting improving supply expectations and reduced geopolitical risk around the Strait of Hormuz.

European spot electricity prices declined sharply due to strong renewable output forecasts. German day-ahead prices fell 20% to 114.33 EUR/MWh, while French prices dropped 26% to 40.57 EUR/MWh. However, forward contracts edged higher, supported by stronger carbon market prices, with German 2027 contracts up 1% and French equivalents rising slightly.

Carbon markets saw significant gains after an EU summit where leaders called for faster reforms to the system, particularly the Market Stability Reserve, while rejecting any suspension. As a result, EU carbon allowances (EUAs) for December 2026 jumped 6.3% to 67.66 EUR/tonne.