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Energy Markets
17.09.2025
Crude oil prices rose on Tuesday as markets reacted to fears of supply disruptions from Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian ports and refineries. Russian pipeline operator Transneft warned producers may need to cut output, while Goldman Sachs estimated that 300,000 barrels per day of refining capacity had been knocked offline since August. As a result, Brent crude climbed 1.5% to $68.47 a barrel, and WTI crude gained nearly 2% to $64.52.
Gas markets also strengthened, despite healthy LNG supplies. Unplanned outages at the Hartlepool 1 and Heysham 2-7 nuclear reactors reduced generation, while technical buying added upward pressure. This pushed the UK’s NBP spot price up 0.8% to 78.60 pence per therm. Looking further ahead, the Winter 2025 contract rose by the same margin to 86 p/therm, reflecting concerns about low wind output and higher demand risk.
European power prices followed suit. In Germany, day-ahead electricity rose to 75.34 EUR/MWh as wind and solar output were forecast to drop. In France, prices surged to 59.35 EUR/MWh after EDF shut its 1.3 GW Cattenom 3 nuclear unit due to a technical fault. Forward contracts stayed firm, with the German 2026 contract rising 0.7% to 87.21 EUR/MWh and the French equivalent up 1.2% to 59.15 EUR/MWh.
Carbon prices also advanced, hitting a seven-month high. EU allowances for December 2025 delivery gained 1% to 77.51 EUR/tonne, supported by strong speculative buying. Investment funds expanded their net long positions to 54.2 million tonnes, the largest since mid-February, reinforcing the bullish tone across Europe’s energy markets.