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Energy Markets
12.10.2026
Oil prices edged higher on Friday as Hurricane Isaias approached the northern Gulf of Mexico, forcing shutdowns that affected more than 70% of US offshore crude production. Earlier losses, driven by positive signals from US-Iran talks and the prospect of a US diesel announcement or a federal gasoline tax suspension, were reversed. Brent rose 0.4% to $104.72/bbl, while WTI gained 0.4% to $91.85/bbl.
UK gas prices rose sharply as concerns over supply security intensified. Geopolitical risks in the Middle East and the threat of hurricane-related disruption to US LNG exports added to worries over winter supply, with the Plaquemines LNG facility in Louisiana potentially affected. NBP spot prices surged 4.6% to 195.90 p/therm, while Summer 2027 gained 1.3% to 150.42 p/therm.
European day-ahead power prices fell sharply on Friday as milder weather reduced demand across the region. German prices dropped 35% to 51.08 EUR/MWh, with mild conditions expected to continue for the next two weeks and wind and solar generation forecast near seasonal norms. French day-ahead prices also declined, falling 32% to 51.26 EUR/MWh. Further along the curve, stronger gas prices supported power futures.
German Cal-2027 power rose 1.5% to 140.21 EUR/MWh, while the French equivalent gained 0.8% to 102.18 EUR/MWh. European carbon prices remained broadly stable, trading within a narrow range despite volatility in energy markets. Technical levels guided trading, although prices still recorded a solid weekly gain. December 2026 EUAs settled at 86.94 EUR/tonne.
