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GLEG UK Energy Market Update…

UK Energy Market Summary to friday 20th December 2024

Closing prices 20.12.2024

Gas prices declined on Wednesday, driven by higher wind output. The NBP spot contract closed 1.4% lower at 3.4 p/kWh GBP/MWh. Similarly, forward gas prices decreased due to stable supply outlook. The NBP Sum-2025 contract fell by nearly 2%, ending at 3.4 p/kWh.

The UK near-term gas price increased by over 7%, closing at 3.6 p/kWh, supported by a drop in wind generation and colder weather. On the forward curve, the NBP Sum-2025 contract surged by nearly 5%, closing at 3.5 p/kWh driven by ongoing uncertainty surrounding Eastern European supplies and further storage withdrawals.

At time of writing, European gas storage levels are 77% full, with the UK 58% full. European gas storage levels are trending just below the 5-year average throughout 2024. Over the past week gas has accounted for 28% of the UK generation mix with wind accounting for 45%, solar 1% and nuclear accounting for 12%. Below summarises curve prices as at close of business on Thursday.

Curve UK Gas & Electricity MarketSOther Energy Markets

 

Oil prices retreated on Thursday a day after the Federal Reserve indicated a slower pace for interest rate cuts next year, with Brent crude falling by 0.7% to close at $72.88 per barrel. Meanwhile, WTI crude declined by 1.7%, settling at $69.38 per barrel.

The European carbon prices increased by 4% on Thursday. The EUA Dec-2025 contract closed at 67.69 EUR/tonne, supported by bullish gas prices and strong buying interest from speculators.

Please contact hello@gleg.co.uk for a more detailed market analysis and expert view on how to navigate your energy procurement strategy through the current market volatility.