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GLEG UK Energy Market Update…
March 24, 2025In a significant escalation of energy warfare, Ukraine has intensified its drone strikes on Russian energy facilities, disrupting oil refineries, gas processing plants, and fuel depots. This comes as both Russia and Ukraine had previously agreed to a 30-day moratorium on attacking each other’s energy infrastructure. However, tensions remain high as both sides accuse each other of breaching the temporary ceasefire.
Impact on Russian Energy Sector
Ukraine’s drone strikes have reportedly taken offline 3.3 million metric tons of Russia’s oil refining capacity in the first quarter of 2024. This represents around 4% of the country’s total refining output. According to industry sources, planned offline capacity for March was revised upwards by nearly 50% to 2.96 million tons.
Key Russian Energy Sites Hit in 2024
- Krasnodar: A drone strike on March 19 ignited a fire at an oil depot near Kavkazskaya village, a critical link for Russian crude entering the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC).
- Tuapse Refinery: An attack on March 14 led to a fire at Rosneft’s Tuapse plant, which exports refined petroleum products to China, Malaysia, Singapore, and Turkey.
- Kirish Refinery: One of Russia’s largest refineries suffered damage on March 8, though operations reportedly continued. The facility produces 5.3% of Russia’s gasoline and 7.6% of its diesel fuel.
- Ryazan Refinery: Repeated attacks in January and February led to a suspension of operations at this Rosneft-owned facility, impacting production of gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel.
- Saratov Refinery: Fuel production was halted after a Ukrainian drone attack on February 11. This refinery processes 2.2% of Russia’s total crude.
- Syzran Refinery: Another Rosneft facility targeted on March 4, processing 86,000 barrels per day.
- Astrakhan Gas Processing Plant: A Gazprom-owned facility temporarily suspended operations after drone strikes on February 3 and March 17.
- Volgograd Refinery: Lukoil’s Volgograd refinery, one of Russia’s major oil processing plants, faced multiple attacks in January and February.
- Sibur-Kstovo Plant: A Ukrainian drone strike on January 29 disrupted product shipments from one of Russia’s key petrochemical facilities.
The Broader Energy War
Russia has repeatedly targeted Ukraine’s energy infrastructure throughout the war, causing severe power outages. In response, Ukraine has focused its counterstrikes on Russia’s oil refineries, ports, and pipeline infrastructure. The strategic attacks disrupt Russian energy exports, particularly to key markets in Asia and Europe.
As energy continues to play a central role in the geopolitical landscape, businesses and investors in the sector must remain alert to ongoing disruptions. The future of energy security in the region remains uncertain as both nations leverage infrastructure attacks as part of their broader conflict strategies.
Stay informed with GLEG for insights into the evolving global energy landscape, contact us at hello@gleg.co.uk.