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Energy Markets

13.03.2025

Oil prices rose by around 2% on Wednesday, driven by a weaker dollar and lower global supply forecasts from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). The U.S. reinstating sanctions on Iran and Venezuela has raised concerns about tighter supply. Brent crude closed at $70.95 per barrel, while WTI settled at $67.68 per barrel. 

Near-term UK gas prices fell as stronger renewables reduced gas-for-power demand. The NBP spot price dropped 3% to 105p/therm. Meanwhile, the Summer 2025 contract dipped 1.4% to 102.77p/therm, following eased geopolitical tensions after Russia and Ukraine agreed to a temporary ceasefire.

European power prices increased in the day-ahead market due to lower wind generation and colder temperatures, while forward contracts showed mixed results. European carbon prices gained 2%, driven by speculation over a potential UK-EU carbon market link. This triggered an 11% surge in UK allowances and a short squeeze in EUAs. The EUA Dec-2025 contract traded at €69.62/tonne.